Pre-election prediction review
On September 27 I issued my fearless prediction of upcoming events before and including the midterms on November 7. They were, with an update following each in red:
- Democrats do better, but fail to win back either the House or the Senate. It looks nip and tuck, but Dems have a full week to continue to blow it.
- The national media continues to operate as an arm of the RNC. Is there a better example than the Kerry kertuffle?
- Schwartznegger is re-elected in California. Yuk. No brainer, musclebound movie goons with funny accents need do nothing to be a great governator.
- There will not be an attack on Iran before the election. Looks like another in the win column, let's hope so, anyway.
- Gasoline prices will continue to fall modestly. OK, so it wasn't so hard to predict.
- Bush's approval rating rises modestly. (see 2 and 5 above) I'd have to look at the polls, but I might lose this one. Still close, I believe.
- Rumsfeld will not resign. I know our Preznit!
- Iraq and Afghanistan will continue to deteriorate, but the media won't notice. Deteriorate check, as for the media, let's say they notice as little as possible.
- Torture bill passes, Democrats are mostly on board. Check.
- No major hurricanes hit the US. Check.